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2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Holstein Kiel host Hertha BSC in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC.
Going into the match, Holstein Kiel had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Hertha BSC had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Holstein Kiel's last 10 and 9 of Hertha BSC's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Holstein Kiel averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hertha BSC averaged 3.43 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Holstein Kiel and 1.77 from Hertha BSC. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 51%, against 33%, 25% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Holstein Kiel (green) and Hertha BSC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | LWDLD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Hertha BSC | WDWWW | 2.50 | 1.20 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Bundesliga matches that day
- Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg · 16 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 1–1