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Liga Alef · Israel
Holon Yermiyahu vs Nordia Jerusalem prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 16:40 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Holon Yermiyahu host Nordia Jerusalem in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 8 Oct 2026, 16:40 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Holon Yermiyahu Win — Holon Yermiyahu to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Holon Yermiyahu 5–0 Nordia Jerusalem.
Going into the match, Holon Yermiyahu had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Nordia Jerusalem had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, with 2 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Holon Yermiyahu's last 5 and 2 of Nordia Jerusalem's last 5; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Holon Yermiyahu averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Nordia Jerusalem averaged 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.30 goals from Holon Yermiyahu and 0.48 from Nordia Jerusalem. From that it rates a home win at 89%, a draw at 8% and an away win at 2%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 89%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Holon Yermiyahu (green) and Nordia Jerusalem (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | LWLWD | 0.60 | 1.00 | 20% | 20% |
| Nordia Jerusalem | LLLLL | 0.40 | 2.60 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Holon Yermiyahu Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Holon Yermiyahu HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.