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3. liga - MSFL · Czech Republic
Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hodonín host Frýdek-Místek in the 3. liga - MSFL (Czech Republic) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.59, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hodonín 3–0 Frýdek-Místek.
Going into the match, Hodonín had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Frýdek-Místek had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Hodonín's last 10 and 5 of Frýdek-Místek's last 10; 1 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hodonín averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Frýdek-Místek averaged 1.31 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Hodonín and 1.23 from Frýdek-Místek. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 36%, against 40%, 25% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hodonín (green) and Frýdek-Místek (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hodonín | WWWLL | 1.00 | 0.90 | 20% | 10% |
| Frýdek-Místek | WLDWD | 1.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 May 2026 · Frýdek-Místek 1–1 Hodonín
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.20 |
| Hodonín Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.