Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.30Market probability 69%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hoang Anh Gia Lai host Song Lam Nghe An in the V.League 1 (Vietnam) on 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Song Lam Nghe An to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 23. Song Lam Nghe An had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Hoang Anh Gia Lai's last 10 and 6 of Song Lam Nghe An's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hoang Anh Gia Lai averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Song Lam Nghe An averaged 1.63 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.90 from Song Lam Nghe An. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 43%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hoang Anh Gia Lai (green) and Song Lam Nghe An (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form27% – 73%

Attack47% – 53%

Defence27% – 73%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals64% – 36%

Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Hoang Anh Gia Lai	LWLLL	1.50	2.30	70%	80%
Song Lam Nghe An	DDWWW	1.40	1.50	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

3 May 2026 · Song Lam Nghe An 0–1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Double Chance 12	71%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	54%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	48%	2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.