HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Stadion Poljud, Split

The PunterPick prediction

HNK Hajduk Split WinOdds 1.33Market probability 73%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

HNK Hajduk Split host HNK Gorica in the HNL (Croatia) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is HNK Hajduk Split Win — HNK Hajduk Split to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, HNK Hajduk Split had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 7. HNK Gorica had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of HNK Hajduk Split's last 10 and 6 of HNK Gorica's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home HNK Hajduk Split averaged 2.36 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home HNK Gorica averaged 1.08 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from HNK Hajduk Split and 0.61 from HNK Gorica. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 9%, against 69%, 19% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between HNK Hajduk Split (green) and HNK Gorica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%

Attack55% – 45%

Defence45% – 55%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals73% – 27%

Overall strength67% – 33%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
HNK Hajduk Split	DWWWW	1.70	0.70	30%	50%
HNK Gorica	DDLDD	1.00	1.10	60%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

16 Aug 2026 · HNK Gorica 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	78%	1.20
HNK Hajduk Split Win	73%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Over 2.5 Goals	57%	1.70
BTTS No	54%	1.67
Under 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.