Home › League stats › HNL › HNK Gorica vs Rudes
HNL · Croatia
HNK Gorica vs Rudes prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
HNK Gorica host Rudes in the HNL (Croatia) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: HNK Gorica 1–2 Rudes.
Going into the match, HNK Gorica had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Rudes had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of HNK Gorica's last 10 and 7 of Rudes's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home HNK Gorica averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Rudes averaged 1.73 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from HNK Gorica and 1.18 from Rudes. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 23%, against 56%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between HNK Gorica (green) and Rudes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | DDWDD | 1.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
| Rudes | DLWLL | 1.40 | 2.70 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| HNK Gorica Win | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.