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1. Division · Denmark
Hillerød vs FC Fredericia prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hillerød host FC Fredericia in the 1. Division (Denmark) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hillerød 0–2 FC Fredericia.
Going into the match, Hillerød had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 11. FC Fredericia had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hillerød's last 10 and 5 of FC Fredericia's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hillerød averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home FC Fredericia averaged 1.91 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Hillerød and 1.65 from FC Fredericia. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 56%, against 17%, 22% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hillerød (green) and FC Fredericia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillerød | DWDDW | 2.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
| FC Fredericia | DDWLL | 1.60 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.57 |
| FC Fredericia Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.