Hibernians vs Gzira United prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.80Market probability 53%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hibernians host Gzira United in the Premier League (Malta) on 22 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Gzira United to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Hibernians 2–1 Gzira United.

Going into the match, Hibernians had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Gzira United had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Hibernians's last 10 and 6 of Gzira United's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hibernians averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Gzira United averaged 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Hibernians and 0.88 from Gzira United. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 48%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hibernians (green) and Gzira United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%

Attack44% – 56%

Defence47% – 53%

Head-to-head40% – 60%

Goals55% – 45%

Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Hibernians	WDLDL	0.90	1.40	30%	30%
Gzira United	DDDDL	0.80	1.80	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	75%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.38
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	67%	1.37
BTTS Yes	52%	1.76
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	48%	1.95
Hibernians HT & FT	31%	3.00
Draw	27%	3.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.