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Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
HFX Wanderers FC host Cavalry FC in the Canadian Premier League (Canada) on 12 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: HFX Wanderers FC 2–2 Cavalry FC.
Going into the match, HFX Wanderers FC had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 18. Cavalry FC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of HFX Wanderers FC's last 10 and 7 of Cavalry FC's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home HFX Wanderers FC averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Cavalry FC averaged 1.64 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from HFX Wanderers FC and 1.89 from Cavalry FC. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 50%, against 23%, 24% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between HFX Wanderers FC (green) and Cavalry FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HFX Wanderers FC | DLWWL | 1.80 | 1.80 | 60% | 60% |
| Cavalry FC | LLWDW | 2.10 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Sep 2026 · HFX Wanderers FC 1–3 Cavalry FC
- 18 Jul 2026 · Cavalry FC 1–1 HFX Wanderers FC
- 7 Jun 2026 · Cavalry FC 2–0 HFX Wanderers FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Cavalry FC Win | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.