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2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hertha BSC host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Going into the match, Hertha BSC had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 13. SpVgg Greuther Fürth had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Hertha BSC's last 10 and 8 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hertha BSC averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home SpVgg Greuther Fürth averaged 1.42 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from Hertha BSC and 0.99 from SpVgg Greuther Fürth. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 12%, against 61%, 21% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hertha BSC (green) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | DWWWW | 2.50 | 1.30 | 90% | 80% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | LDDLW | 1.60 | 2.10 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Hertha BSC Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.