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2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hertha BSC host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hertha BSC had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Arminia Bielefeld had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Hertha BSC's last 10 and 8 of Arminia Bielefeld's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hertha BSC averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Arminia Bielefeld averaged 2.83 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from Hertha BSC and 1.43 from Arminia Bielefeld. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 19%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hertha BSC (green) and Arminia Bielefeld (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | DWDWW | 2.40 | 1.20 | 90% | 80% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | WWDDL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Arminia Bielefeld 6–1 Hertha BSC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Hertha BSC Win | 52% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Bundesliga matches that day
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern · 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - 1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: 1. FC Heidenheim Win @ 1.70 - 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44