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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
Herrestads vs Grebbestad prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Herrestads host Grebbestad in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 5 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Herrestads to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Herrestads 3–1 Grebbestad.
Going into the match, Herrestads had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Grebbestad had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Herrestads's last 10 and 9 of Grebbestad's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Herrestads averaged 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Grebbestad averaged 2.20 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Herrestads and 1.93 from Grebbestad. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 40%, against 39%, 24% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Herrestads (green) and Grebbestad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herrestads | LWLDW | 1.80 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| Grebbestad | WWWLL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 90% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Grebbestad 2–1 Herrestads
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Double Chance 1X | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.