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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Hércules vs Sant Andreu prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hércules host Sant Andreu in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Hércules Win — Hércules to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hércules 1–0 Sant Andreu.
Going into the match, Hércules had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Sant Andreu had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Hércules's last 10 and 5 of Sant Andreu's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hércules averaged 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sant Andreu averaged 0.50 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Hércules and 0.60 from Sant Andreu. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 22%, against 54%, 27% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hércules (green) and Sant Andreu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules | DWWWL | 0.80 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
| Sant Andreu | DWDLW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Hércules Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.