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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Hercules vs DVS 33 Ermelo prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hercules host DVS 33 Ermelo in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Hercules 1–0 DVS 33 Ermelo.
Going into the match, Hercules had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 24. DVS 33 Ermelo had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hercules's last 10 and 7 of DVS 33 Ermelo's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hercules averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home DVS 33 Ermelo averaged 1.33 scored and 2.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Hercules and 1.18 from DVS 33 Ermelo. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hercules (green) and DVS 33 Ermelo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercules | WLWLL | 1.30 | 2.40 | 60% | 80% |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | LLWDL | 1.20 | 2.20 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.