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Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Spain
Hércules II vs Eldense B prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hércules II host Eldense B in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Eldense B to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hércules II 1–0 Eldense B.
Going into the match, Hércules II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Eldense B had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 5 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Hércules II's last 10 and 2 of Eldense B's last 5; 7 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hércules II averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Eldense B averaged 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Hércules II and 0.79 from Eldense B. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 27%, against 34%, 30% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hércules II (green) and Eldense B (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules II | WWDLL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 50% | 70% |
| Eldense B | WDDWL | 1.00 | 0.80 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.86 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Eldense B Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| 1-1 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.