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Super League · China
Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Henan Jianye host Tianjin Teda in the Super League (China) on 16 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Henan Jianye 0–1 Tianjin Teda.
Going into the match, Henan Jianye had won 1, drawn 8 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Tianjin Teda had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Henan Jianye's last 10 and 5 of Tianjin Teda's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Henan Jianye averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Tianjin Teda averaged 1.42 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Henan Jianye and 1.13 from Tianjin Teda. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 37%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Henan Jianye (green) and Tianjin Teda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye | DDDDD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 80% | 40% |
| Tianjin Teda | WWWDD | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 May 2026 · Tianjin Teda 1–2 Henan Jianye
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Henan Jianye Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.