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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Heist vs Tienen prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Heist host Tienen in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Heist 4–0 Tienen.
Going into the match, Heist had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Tienen had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Heist's last 10 and 7 of Tienen's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Heist averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Tienen averaged 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Heist and 1.17 from Tienen. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 51%, 25% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Heist (green) and Tienen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Heist Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Heist HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First Amateur Division matches that day
- Albert Quévy-Mons vs Rochefort · 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · First Amateur Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 2–0