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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Heist vs Cercle Brugge II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Heist host Cercle Brugge II in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Heist 3–1 Cercle Brugge II.
Going into the match, Heist had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Cercle Brugge II had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 8, with 8 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Heist's last 10 and 6 of Cercle Brugge II's last 8; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Heist averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Cercle Brugge II averaged 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Heist and 0.91 from Cercle Brugge II. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 15%, against 56%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Heist (green) and Cercle Brugge II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heist | LDLDW | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| Cercle Brugge II | LLWLD | 1.00 | 2.75 | 75% | 88% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.64 |
| Heist Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Heist HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.