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League One · China
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Heilongjiang Lava Spring host Meizhou Kejia in the League One (China) on 6 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0–0 Meizhou Kejia.
Going into the match, Heilongjiang Lava Spring had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 22. Meizhou Kejia had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 10 and 7 of Meizhou Kejia's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Heilongjiang Lava Spring averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Meizhou Kejia averaged 0.75 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.15 goals from Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.35 from Meizhou Kejia. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 23%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Heilongjiang Lava Spring (green) and Meizhou Kejia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | DLLLL | 1.40 | 2.20 | 80% | 60% |
| Meizhou Kejia | LWLDL | 1.20 | 2.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Meizhou Kejia 2–2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.