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A Lyga · Lithuania
Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hegelmann Litauen host Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga (Lithuania) on 31 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Kauno Žalgiris Win — Kauno Žalgiris to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hegelmann Litauen had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Kauno Žalgiris had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Hegelmann Litauen's last 10 and 3 of Kauno Žalgiris's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hegelmann Litauen averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kauno Žalgiris averaged 1.43 scored and 1.14 conceded across 21.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Hegelmann Litauen and 1.68 from Kauno Žalgiris. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 12%, 19% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hegelmann Litauen (green) and Kauno Žalgiris (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann Litauen | LLDDL | 0.90 | 2.00 | 70% | 50% |
| Kauno Žalgiris | DLWLW | 2.00 | 1.20 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Kauno Žalgiris 2–0 Hegelmann Litauen
- 14 Jun 2026 · Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Kauno Žalgiris
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris Win | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.73 |
| Kauno Žalgiris HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other A Lyga matches that day
- Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai · 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · A Lyga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius · 31 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · A Lyga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53