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National League - North · England
Hebburn Town vs Oxford City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hebburn Town host Oxford City in the National League - North (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hebburn Town 0–3 Oxford City.
Going into the match, Hebburn Town had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Oxford City had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Hebburn Town's last 10 and 5 of Oxford City's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hebburn Town averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Oxford City averaged 1.80 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Hebburn Town and 2.33 from Oxford City. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 68%, against 32%, 26% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebburn Town | DLWLD | 1.40 | 1.90 | 80% | 60% |
| Oxford City | WDWWL | 2.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.