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Premier League · Wales
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Haverfordwest County AFC host Flint Town United in the Premier League (Wales) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Haverfordwest County AFC 0–1 Flint Town United.
Going into the match, Haverfordwest County AFC had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Flint Town United had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Haverfordwest County AFC's last 10 and 5 of Flint Town United's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Haverfordwest County AFC averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Flint Town United averaged 0.75 scored and 2.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Haverfordwest County AFC and 0.88 from Flint Town United. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 23%, against 50%, 25% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Haverfordwest County AFC (green) and Flint Town United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County AFC | LLWWD | 0.70 | 1.50 | 30% | 40% |
| Flint Town United | WLLDL | 0.90 | 2.10 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.74 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC Win | 50% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.