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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Havant & Wville vs Basingstoke Town prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Havant & Wville host Basingstoke Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Havant & Wville 4–1 Basingstoke Town.
Going into the match, Havant & Wville had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 25. Basingstoke Town had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Havant & Wville's last 10 and 7 of Basingstoke Town's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Havant & Wville averaged 1.11 goals scored and 2.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Basingstoke Town averaged 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.19 goals from Havant & Wville and 1.57 from Basingstoke Town. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 27%, against 43%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Havant & Wville (green) and Basingstoke Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havant & Wville | LDLLL | 1.50 | 2.50 | 90% | 70% |
| Basingstoke Town | WLLDD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Havant & Wville Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Havant & Wville HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.