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Türkiye Kupası · Turkey
Hatayspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hatayspor host Karaköprü Belediyespor in the Türkiye Kupası (Turkey) on 7 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Karaköprü Belediyespor Win — Karaköprü Belediyespor to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hatayspor 1–2 Karaköprü Belediyespor.
Going into the match, Hatayspor had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Karaköprü Belediyespor had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Hatayspor's last 9 and 5 of Karaköprü Belediyespor's last 6; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hatayspor averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Karaköprü Belediyespor averaged 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Hatayspor and 1.72 from Karaköprü Belediyespor. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 16%, 23% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor | LWLDL | 0.89 | 1.56 | 33% | 33% |
| Karaköprü Belediyespor | WWWWL | 2.33 | 1.17 | 83% | 83% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| Karaköprü Belediyespor Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Karaköprü Belediyespor HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.