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Türkiye Kupası · Turkey

Hatayspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor prediction and preview

7 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Karaköprü Belediyespor WinOdds 1.48Market probability 61%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hatayspor host Karaköprü Belediyespor in the Türkiye Kupası (Turkey) on 7 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Karaköprü Belediyespor Win — Karaköprü Belediyespor to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Hatayspor 1–2 Karaköprü Belediyespor.

Going into the match, Hatayspor had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Karaköprü Belediyespor had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Hatayspor's last 9 and 5 of Karaköprü Belediyespor's last 6; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hatayspor averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Karaköprü Belediyespor averaged 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Hatayspor and 1.72 from Karaköprü Belediyespor. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 16%, 23% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
HataysporLWLDL0.891.5633%33%
Karaköprü BelediyesporWWWWL2.331.1783%83%

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1277%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals71%1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals62%1.48
Karaköprü Belediyespor Win61%1.48
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.70
BTTS Yes52%1.77
Under 2.5 Goals45%2.10
Karaköprü Belediyespor HT & FT41%2.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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