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Botola Pro · Morocco
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hassania Agadir host Maghreb Fès in the Botola Pro (Morocco) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Maghreb Fès to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hassania Agadir 1–2 Maghreb Fès.
Going into the match, Hassania Agadir had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Maghreb Fès had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hassania Agadir's last 10 and 6 of Maghreb Fès's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hassania Agadir averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Maghreb Fès averaged 0.78 scored and 0.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Hassania Agadir and 1.53 from Maghreb Fès. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 47%, against 26%, 35% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hassania Agadir (green) and Maghreb Fès (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hassania Agadir | WDLDD | 0.90 | 0.80 | 40% | 20% |
| Maghreb Fès | WDWWD | 1.50 | 0.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Maghreb Fès 4–0 Hassania Agadir
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Maghreb Fès Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.