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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Harkemase Boys host Hoogeveen in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Harkemase Boys 2–1 Hoogeveen.
Going into the match, Harkemase Boys had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Hoogeveen had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Harkemase Boys's last 10 and 9 of Hoogeveen's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Harkemase Boys averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Hoogeveen averaged 2.00 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Harkemase Boys and 1.87 from Hoogeveen. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 36%, against 51%, 21% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Harkemase Boys (green) and Hoogeveen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harkemase Boys | LDWDW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Hoogeveen | WWLLW | 2.40 | 2.00 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.72 |
| Harkemase Boys Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Double Chance X2 | 49% | 1.87 |
| Harkemase Boys HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.