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FA Cup · England
Harborough Town vs St Albans City prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Harborough Town host St Albans City in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Harborough Town 3–2 St Albans City.
Going into the match, Harborough Town had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. St Albans City had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Harborough Town's last 10 and 4 of St Albans City's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Harborough Town averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home St Albans City averaged 2.00 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Harborough Town and 1.59 from St Albans City. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 41%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Harborough Town (green) and St Albans City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborough Town | LWDLL | 1.00 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
| St Albans City | WWDWW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Harborough Town Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.