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Ligat Ha'al · Israel
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Tel Aviv host Ironi Tiberias in the Ligat Ha'al (Israel) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–0 Ironi Tiberias.
Going into the match, Hapoel Tel Aviv had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Ironi Tiberias had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 10 and 5 of Ironi Tiberias's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ironi Tiberias averaged 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from Hapoel Tel Aviv and 0.77 from Ironi Tiberias. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 13%, against 75%, 16% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Tel Aviv (green) and Ironi Tiberias (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | WWLWW | 1.70 | 0.90 | 40% | 70% |
| Ironi Tiberias | LLDWL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Win | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligat Ha'al matches that day
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Ligat Ha'al
Published pick: Maccabi Haifa Win @ 1.42 · FT 1–2 - Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona · 17 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligat Ha'al
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva · 17 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Ligat Ha'al
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Ligat Ha'al
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53