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Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Sderot vs Hapoel Azor prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Sderot host Hapoel Azor in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Hapoel Sderot to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Sderot 0–0 Hapoel Azor.
Going into the match, Hapoel Sderot had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Hapoel Azor had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4, with 4 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Hapoel Sderot's last 4 and 0 of Hapoel Azor's last 4; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Sderot averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Hapoel Azor averaged 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Hapoel Sderot and 1.58 from Hapoel Azor. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 41%, against 45%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Sderot (green) and Hapoel Azor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Sderot | LWLW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Hapoel Azor | WLWL | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Hapoel Sderot Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Hapoel Sderot HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.