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Liga Leumit · Israel
Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Rishon LeZion host Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 3–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa.
Going into the match, Hapoel Rishon LeZion had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Hapoel Rishon LeZion's last 10 and 6 of Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Rishon LeZion averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa averaged 1.44 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Hapoel Rishon LeZion and 1.21 from Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 23%, against 58%, 22% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Rishon LeZion (green) and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Rishon LeZion | DWLWD | 1.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | WLLLW | 1.50 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Apr 2026 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1–1 Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Hapoel Rishon LeZion Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.