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Ligat Ha'al · Israel
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Petah Tikva host Maccabi Netanya in the Ligat Ha'al (Israel) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–1 Maccabi Netanya.
Going into the match, Hapoel Petah Tikva had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 16. Maccabi Netanya had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Hapoel Petah Tikva's last 10 and 6 of Maccabi Netanya's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Petah Tikva averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Maccabi Netanya averaged 2.30 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from Hapoel Petah Tikva and 1.56 from Maccabi Netanya. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 56%, against 23%, 24% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Petah Tikva (green) and Maccabi Netanya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | LLLWL | 0.50 | 1.60 | 30% | 40% |
| Maccabi Netanya | LLDWD | 1.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Aug 2026 · Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–2 Maccabi Netanya
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.