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Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Marmorek host Maccabi Ashdod in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 8 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Marmorek 1–1 Maccabi Ashdod.
Going into the match, Hapoel Marmorek had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Maccabi Ashdod had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 7 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Hapoel Marmorek's last 5 and 4 of Maccabi Ashdod's last 5; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Marmorek averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Maccabi Ashdod averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Hapoel Marmorek and 1.07 from Maccabi Ashdod. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Marmorek (green) and Maccabi Ashdod (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | DLLLW | 0.80 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Maccabi Ashdod | WDDDL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 80% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Maccabi Ashdod Win | 38% | 2.40 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.