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Liga Leumit · Israel
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Ashdod prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Kfar Saba host Ashdod in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Kfar Saba 2–4 Ashdod.
Going into the match, Hapoel Kfar Saba had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 23. Ashdod had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hapoel Kfar Saba's last 10 and 5 of Ashdod's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Kfar Saba averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ashdod averaged 1.56 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Hapoel Kfar Saba and 2.30 from Ashdod. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 56%, against 16%, 21% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Kfar Saba (green) and Ashdod (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | LLLWL | 1.20 | 2.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Ashdod | WWWWW | 2.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Ashdod Win | 62% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.