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Ligat Ha'al · Israel
Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Katamon host Maccabi Haifa in the Ligat Ha'al (Israel) on 12 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Katamon 1–4 Maccabi Haifa.
Going into the match, Hapoel Katamon had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 18. Maccabi Haifa had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Hapoel Katamon's last 10 and 6 of Maccabi Haifa's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Katamon averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Maccabi Haifa averaged 1.58 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Hapoel Katamon and 2.07 from Maccabi Haifa. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 49%, against 19%, 24% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Katamon (green) and Maccabi Haifa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Katamon | WDWLL | 2.00 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
| Maccabi Haifa | WWWLW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Aug 2026 · Maccabi Haifa 0–1 Hapoel Katamon
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Maccabi Haifa Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.