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Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel host Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 8 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Win — Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Going into the match, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3, with 5 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Hapoel Ironi Karmiel's last 5 and 2 of Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel's last 3; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Ironi Karmiel averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel averaged 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Hapoel Ironi Karmiel and 0.47 from Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 7%, against 61%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (green) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | DDDWW | 1.60 | 0.60 | 60% | 40% |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | LWL | 1.67 | 1.67 | 67% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Win | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.