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Liga Alef · Israel
Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Herzliya host Hapoel Mahane Yehuda in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 8 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Herzliya 0–0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
Going into the match, Hapoel Herzliya had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Hapoel Mahane Yehuda had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with 4 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Hapoel Herzliya's last 5 and 3 of Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's last 5; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Herzliya averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Hapoel Mahane Yehuda averaged 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Hapoel Herzliya and 1.20 from Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 38%, against 52%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Herzliya (green) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | DWDWW | 1.20 | 0.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | LLLDD | 0.80 | 1.60 | 60% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Hapoel Herzliya Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Hapoel Herzliya HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.