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State Cup · Israel
Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Herzliya host Hapoel Azor in the State Cup (Israel) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Herzliya 0–1 Hapoel Azor.
Going into the match, Hapoel Herzliya had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Hapoel Azor had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6, with 5 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Hapoel Herzliya's last 6 and 1 of Hapoel Azor's last 6; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Herzliya averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Hapoel Azor averaged 0.25 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Hapoel Herzliya and 1.40 from Hapoel Azor. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 45%, against 48%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Herzliya (green) and Hapoel Azor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | DDWDW | 1.00 | 0.33 | 33% | 33% |
| Hapoel Azor | DDWLW | 0.83 | 1.17 | 17% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.