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Ligat Ha'al · Israel
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Haifa host Maccabi Petah Tikva in the Ligat Ha'al (Israel) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Haifa 2–1 Maccabi Petah Tikva.
Going into the match, Hapoel Haifa had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Maccabi Petah Tikva had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Hapoel Haifa's last 10 and 7 of Maccabi Petah Tikva's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Haifa averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Maccabi Petah Tikva averaged 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Hapoel Haifa and 0.94 from Maccabi Petah Tikva. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 18%, against 45%, 27% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Haifa (green) and Maccabi Petah Tikva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | LWDDD | 2.00 | 1.30 | 80% | 80% |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | LLLWW | 1.40 | 1.60 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.