Home › League stats › Ligat Ha'al › Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon
Ligat Ha'al · Israel
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Katamon prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Beer Sheva host Hapoel Katamon in the Ligat Ha'al (Israel) on 18 Oct 2026, 17:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–1 Hapoel Katamon.
Going into the match, Hapoel Beer Sheva had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Hapoel Katamon had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hapoel Beer Sheva's last 10 and 7 of Hapoel Katamon's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Beer Sheva averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Hapoel Katamon averaged 1.31 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.02 goals from Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.14 from Hapoel Katamon. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 20%, against 66%, 21% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Beer Sheva (green) and Hapoel Katamon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | LWWDW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Hapoel Katamon | LWDWL | 2.00 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva Win | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.