Home › League stats › Liga Leumit › Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Liga Leumit · Israel
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hapoel Afula host Hapoel Rishon LeZion in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Hapoel Rishon LeZion to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hapoel Afula 2–2 Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
Going into the match, Hapoel Afula had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Hapoel Rishon LeZion had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Hapoel Afula's last 10 and 5 of Hapoel Rishon LeZion's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hapoel Afula averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hapoel Rishon LeZion averaged 1.00 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Hapoel Afula and 1.52 from Hapoel Rishon LeZion. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 35%, against 32%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hapoel Afula (green) and Hapoel Rishon LeZion (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | WDLLW | 2.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
| Hapoel Rishon LeZion | WLWDW | 1.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Hapoel Rishon LeZion Win | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.