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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Hanworth Villa vs Gloucester City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hanworth Villa host Gloucester City in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hanworth Villa 1–3 Gloucester City.
Going into the match, Hanworth Villa had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 11. Gloucester City had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Hanworth Villa's last 10 and 7 of Gloucester City's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hanworth Villa averaged 2.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Gloucester City averaged 2.08 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.02 goals from Hanworth Villa and 1.02 from Gloucester City. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 18%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hanworth Villa (green) and Gloucester City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanworth Villa | LWWWW | 2.70 | 1.10 | 70% | 80% |
| Gloucester City | WDWLW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.15 |
| Hanworth Villa Win | 41% | 2.15 |
| Hanworth Villa HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.