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FA Cup · England
Hanwell Town vs Dover prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hanwell Town host Dover in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hanwell Town 1–2 Dover.
Going into the match, Hanwell Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Dover had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Hanwell Town's last 10 and 5 of Dover's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hanwell Town averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Dover averaged 1.14 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Hanwell Town and 1.44 from Dover. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 43%, against 33%, 24% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hanwell Town (green) and Dover (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanwell Town | DLWDW | 1.00 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
| Dover | WWWWL | 2.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.26 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.64 |
| Dover Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.