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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Hanwell Town vs Chertsey Town prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hanwell Town host Chertsey Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hanwell Town 1–1 Chertsey Town.
Going into the match, Hanwell Town had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Chertsey Town had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hanwell Town's last 10 and 8 of Chertsey Town's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hanwell Town averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Chertsey Town averaged 2.10 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Hanwell Town and 1.48 from Chertsey Town. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 45%, against 38%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hanwell Town (green) and Chertsey Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanwell Town | WLDLW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Chertsey Town | DWLDD | 2.10 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.25 |
| Hanwell Town Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.