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Premier League · Malta
Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hamrun Spartans host Hibernians in the Premier League (Malta) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Hamrun Spartans Win — Hamrun Spartans to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hamrun Spartans 2–2 Hibernians.
Going into the match, Hamrun Spartans had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Hibernians had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hamrun Spartans's last 10 and 3 of Hibernians's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamrun Spartans averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Hibernians averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Hamrun Spartans and 0.98 from Hibernians. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 21%, against 58%, 22% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hamrun Spartans (green) and Hibernians (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamrun Spartans | WWWDL | 1.40 | 1.00 | 60% | 30% |
| Hibernians | LDLDL | 0.80 | 1.50 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Hamrun Spartans Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
| Hamrun Spartans HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.