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National League - South · England
Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hampton & Richmond host Ebbsfleet United in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hampton & Richmond 0–2 Ebbsfleet United.
Going into the match, Hampton & Richmond had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 22. Ebbsfleet United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Hampton & Richmond's last 10 and 7 of Ebbsfleet United's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hampton & Richmond averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Ebbsfleet United averaged 1.45 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Hampton & Richmond and 2.35 from Ebbsfleet United. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 68%, against 21%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton & Richmond | LLDDW | 1.50 | 2.20 | 70% | 50% |
| Ebbsfleet United | WLDWW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Ebbsfleet United 4–0 Hampton & Richmond
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Ebbsfleet United Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.