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League One · Scotland
Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hamilton Academical host Peterhead in the League One (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hamilton Academical 2–1 Peterhead.
Going into the match, Hamilton Academical had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 5. Peterhead had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Hamilton Academical's last 10 and 6 of Peterhead's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamilton Academical averaged 2.21 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Peterhead averaged 1.85 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Hamilton Academical and 0.55 from Peterhead. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 13%, against 67%, 21% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hamilton Academical (green) and Peterhead (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Academical | WWWWW | 1.90 | 0.50 | 20% | 50% |
| Peterhead | LWLLW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · Peterhead 0–1 Hamilton Academical
- 25 Apr 2026 · Hamilton Academical 3–1 Peterhead
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Hamilton Academical Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.