Hamburger SV W vs Union Berlin W prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.60Market probability 59%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hamburger SV W host Union Berlin W in the DFB Pokal - Women (Germany) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Hamburger SV W had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Union Berlin W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Hamburger SV W's last 10 and 5 of Union Berlin W's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamburger SV W averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Union Berlin W averaged 2.29 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Hamburger SV W and 2.97 from Union Berlin W. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 69%, against 31%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hamburger SV W (green) and Union Berlin W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack29% – 71%

Defence0% – 100%

Head-to-head25% – 75%

Goals44% – 56%

Overall strength37% – 63%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Hamburger SV W	DLLWW	1.60	1.70	80%	60%
Union Berlin W	DWWWW	2.10	2.00	50%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

25 Oct 2026 · Hamburger SV W 4–4 Union Berlin W
1 May 2026 · Hamburger SV W 0–1 Union Berlin W

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	74%	1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No	74%	1.23
BTTS Yes	62%	1.46
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.60
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.54
2nd Half Higher Goals	48%	1.93
Union Berlin W Win	43%	2.10
Hamburger SV W HT & FT	27%	3.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.