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Friendlies Clubs · International
Hamburger SV vs FC Copenhagen prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hamburger SV host FC Copenhagen in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — FC Copenhagen to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hamburger SV 2–0 FC Copenhagen.
Going into the match, Hamburger SV had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 22. FC Copenhagen had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Hamburger SV's last 10 and 2 of FC Copenhagen's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamburger SV averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home FC Copenhagen averaged 2.47 scored and 1.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Hamburger SV and 2.11 from FC Copenhagen. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 55%, against 38%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hamburger SV (green) and FC Copenhagen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | WLLLW | 1.50 | 2.20 | 60% | 90% |
| FC Copenhagen | WWWWW | 2.40 | 0.60 | 20% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.