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Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction and preview
6 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC · Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hamburger SV host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 6 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Hamburger SV had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 22. Borussia Mönchengladbach had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 10 and 6 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamburger SV averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 2.79 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Hamburger SV and 1.81 from Borussia Mönchengladbach. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 41%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hamburger SV (green) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | LLLWW | 1.00 | 2.20 | 40% | 60% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | DWWLL | 1.70 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.