Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

VfB Oldenburg WinOdds 1.44Market probability 62%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hamburger SV II host VfB Oldenburg in the Regionalliga - Nord (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is VfB Oldenburg Win — VfB Oldenburg to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Hamburger SV II 1–2 VfB Oldenburg.

Going into the match, Hamburger SV II had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. VfB Oldenburg had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Hamburger SV II's last 10 and 7 of VfB Oldenburg's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamburger SV II averaged 0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home VfB Oldenburg averaged 2.56 scored and 1.44 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Hamburger SV II and 2.55 from VfB Oldenburg. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 63%, against 17%, 19% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hamburger SV II (green) and VfB Oldenburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%

Attack32% – 68%

Defence45% – 55%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals45% – 55%

Overall strength34% – 65%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Hamburger SV II	WLWLL	1.40	2.10	40%	80%
VfB Oldenburg	WLLWW	3.10	1.60	70%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	1.37
BTTS 1st Half - No	66%	1.38
VfB Oldenburg Win	62%	1.44
VfB Oldenburg HT & FT	50%	1.89
1-2	11%	8.30

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.